MODELLING OF BIOMEDICAL SYSTEMS RESEARCH GROUP (MBSRG)

The group uses mathematical modelling techniques to, identify, isolate and understand the
factors governing the transmission and persistence of an infection. The models are used to
project the incidence, prevalence and spatial distribution of the infection. Possible
interventions such as quarantine, mass vaccination, educational campaigns, treatment and
drug efficacy and safety are built into the models. The group is then able to evaluate the
efficacy and cost effectiveness of public health intervention strategies and advise public
health officials on optimal resource allocation. Mathematical modelling is an inexpensive,
quick way of resolving a physical/biological problem by expressing it in mathematical
language and then using mathematical tools to analyse the problem before reverting the
solution back to the physical problem. In this regard, great potential exists for the
employment of mathematical models to plan and evaluate intervention programs.